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Methods Developed for Assessing the Health Effects of Ozone
Published: February 16, 2010
Posted: March 04, 2010

A method has been developed for assessing the impacts of climate change on the future human health and economic impacts of ozone pollution. The analysis uses the DOE-funded MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis-Health Effects model in combination with a global tropospheric chemistry model. The investigators simulated the impacts of various emission scenarios on climate and atmospheric chemistry over the period 2000-2050, with a focus on the acute mortality and morbidity caused by ozone pollution and the economic impacts in sixteen world regions. They estimated that health costs due to global ozone pollution above pre-industrial levels will be $580 billion by 2050 (year 2000 dollars) and that acute mortalities will exceed 2 million. The results imply that previous methodologies underestimate costs of air pollution by more than a third because they do not take into account the long-term, compounding effects of health costs.

Reference: Selin, N., S. Wu, K.-M. Nam, J. Reilly, S. Paltsev, R. Prinn, and M. Webster. 2009. "Global Health and Economic Impacts of Future Ozone Pollution," Environmental Research Letters 4(4), 044014. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/4/044104). (Reference link)

Contact: Bob Vallario, SC 23.1, (301) 903-5758
Topic Areas:

  • Research Area: Earth and Environmental Systems Modeling
  • Research Area: Multisector Dynamics (formerly Integrated Assessment)

Division: SC-33.1 Earth and Environmental Sciences Division, BER


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