Increases in water demand lead to different responses in different regions.
Water demand around the world is likely to rise throughout this century, potentially increasing demand-driven water stress. Researchers at the U.S. Department of Energy’s Pacific Northwest National Laboratory explored where demand-driven water scarcity might emerge in the future and what responses could be expected in different water basins. They found that responses were quite robust across different water demand scenarios and could be grouped into three categories: limited response, reductions in electricity sector water withdrawals, and reductions in both electricity and agricultural withdrawals.
The key finding of this paper is that there is a consistent order to the response approach that different regions might take when faced with water scarcity, at least with regard to the electricity and water sectors. This result, along with the typology of water stress responses developed by the research team, will be valuable for future research exploring global water scarcity due to both demand and supply drivers.
This research explored regional response strategies to potential water scarcity driven by a wide range of alternate water demand scenarios. Using GCAM, an integrated human-Earth system model, the research team created a typology that categorized countries and basins according to how their electricity and agriculture sectors responded to increasing water demands. In many basins, little response was observed because water demands did not increase enough to create scarcity. An electricity-focused response was observed in most basins in Western Europe, the United States, and China, typically characterized by a transition to water-saving cooling systems. Finally, in areas with a lack of sufficient response capacity in the electricity sector (e.g., Pakistan, the Middle East, and several basins in India), the most notable response was observed in the agricultural sector, in which many regions reduce irrigation water withdrawals in response to scarcity, (e.g., switching from domestic production to imports). These regional responses were quite robust across the range of water demand scenarios tested.
Contacts (BER PM)
Multisector Dynamics, Earth and Environmental System Modeling
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
The U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science, Office of Biological and Environmental Research funded this research as part of research in the Multisector Dynamics, Earth and Environmental System Modeling Program.
Cui, R.Y., K. Calvin, L. Clarke, M. Hejazi, S. Kim, P. Kyle, P. Patel, S. Turner, and M. Wise. “Regional responses to future, demand-driven water scarcity.” Environmental Research Letters 13(9), 094006 (2018). [DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/aad8f7]
Regional responses to future, demand-driven water scarcity
SC-33.1 Earth and Environmental Sciences Division, BER
BER supports basic research and scientific user facilities to advance DOE missions in energy and environment. More about BER
Mar 23, 2021
Molecular Connections from Plants to Fungi to Ants
Lipids transfer energy and serve as an inter-kingdom communication tool in leaf-cutter ants&rsqu [more...]
Mar 19, 2021
Microbes Use Ancient Metabolism to Cycle Phosphorus
Microbial cycling of phosphorus through reduction-oxidation reactions is older and more widespre [more...]
Feb 22, 2021
Warming Soil Means Stronger Microbe Networks
Soil warming leads to more complex, larger, and more connected networks of microbes in those soi [more...]
Jan 27, 2021
Labeling the Thale Cress Metabolites
New data pipeline identifies metabolites following heavy isotope labeling.
Aug 31, 2020
Novel Bacterial Clade Reveals Origin of Form I Rubisco
List all highlights (possible long download time)